Who’s gonna win the MLB Home Run Derby tonight? Will the HGH science experiment known as Big Poopie put on the ultimate display in front of his home crowd? Or will a relative no-namer in Nelson Cruz shock the baseball world? Actually Joe Mauer winning the whole thing would be the biggest shocker.
Pick the correct order for each round and if you’re right, you could win two tickets to the 2010 All Star Game in Anaheim, California.
I have a very good track record of picking the Home Run derby champ. This year is tough. My formula suggests that I go with Carlos Pena. However, Big Poopie surely seems unstoppable. Yet, I will remain true to my formula and stick with Pena.
Every year there’s different players filling the same roles:
Ryan Howard. Players need stamina to win this event.
Prince Fielder. There’s always one guy that desperately wants to prove he’s the best and ends up overswinging all the time and wearing himself out after the first 3 or 4 swings. Fielder is that guy this year, 100%.
Brandon Inge. The Too Green player is overwhelmed by the pressure and experience of home run derby. Chalk him up for 2 homers tops. Inge is one of my favorite players, but he needs to get this first derby under his belt and he’ll be one to look for in future derbies.
TOKEN “WHAT THA” PLAYER
Joe Mauer. His only purpose for being in this event is to show that good, solid hitters with a little pop ALWAYS choke terribly at the Home Run Derby.
FAVORITE TO WIN, BUT NEVER DOES
Albert Pujols. Rarely, very rarely does the favorite win. Though his obscene abuse of HGH may overcome this rock-set “favorites never win” factor. Expect Chris Berman to recite his favorite love poem to Big Poopie for 90% of the Home Run Derby coverage. It’s gonna be gross.
POWER GUY THAT SURPRISINGLY CHOKES
Adrian Gonzalez. There’s always one guy who has tremendous power and ends up doing ABSOLUTELY nothing. It’s usually a somewhat younger player who is too well known to be tagged as the “Too Green” player. Sometimes it’s even one of the big superstars.
THE GUY THAT WINS
You want my secret formula? Ok, fine. The single favorite pick by the general consensus never wins; we know that. But not even the top 2 or 3 win. The ESPN guys usually have their favorites and it’s always the overbulked superstars. Never go with them. They’re always wrong. 90% of the time it’s a guy who has the power to win it, but he may not necessarily be known as a primarily power guy. They also tend to be very calm, collected, focused, and possess the stamina to go all four rounds. Carlos Pena is that guy this year. Adrian Gonzalez is intriguing because he’s not at that mega superstar status, but I think he’s too well-known for his power and thusly he falls into the category that he does. Nelson Cruz I think has the temperment to win, but he’s still too green.
Here’s my picks:
1 big poopie
2 Ryan Howard
3 Carlos Pena
4 Brandon Inge
5 Prince Fielder
6 Joe Mauer
7 Nelson Cruz
8 Adrian Gonzalez
1 big poopie
2 carlos pena
3 brandon inge
4 Prince Fielder
1 CARLOS PENA
2 big poopie
PAST WINNERS AND PAST YEARS’ FULL RESULTS:
2008 Home Run Derby results Justin Morneau
2007 Home Run Derby results Vladimir Guerrero (Though Big Poopie should have won)
2006 Home Run Derby results Ryan Howard
2005 Home Run Derby results Bobby Abreu
2004 Home Run Derby results Miguel Tejada
2003 Home Run Derby results Garret Anderson